Official Ground And Pound Shirt

 one trial that could matter enough to move GOP voters away from him: the Official Ground And Pound Shirt in addition I really love this Jan. 6-related case being prosecuted by special counsel Jack Smith. Given how little impact the E. Jean Carroll verdicts have had on the GOP electorate, why should anyone expect Trump to lose much (if any) support following a guilty verdict in the New York City hush money case led by Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg? And voters haven’t been moved by the guilty verdict in the other big civil case Trump lost, the one involving his business in New York state. Recommended 2024 ELECTION Illinois judge rules Trump ineligible for Republican primary ballot over Jan. 6 riot But the trial over Trump’s attempts to overturn the 2020 election could really be devastating to him — especially with swing voters — if you have people like his former chief of staff, Mark Meadows, directly contradicting Trump. Or the parade of prominent officials who could testify against him, including former Vice President Mike Pence or former Attorney General William Barr or former Defense Secretary Mark Esper. All will be devastating witnesses because none of them are Democrats — they are, in some cases, well-known conservatives. But Haley’s problem with counting on this trial to sober up some GOP primary voters about Trump’s electability is that it may not begin until after the primary season ends in June. It’s likely Trump will already have all the delegates he needs for the nomination by then. And while voters may have second thoughts about nominating Trump after a guilty verdict, the folks his campaign team selects as their delegates to the GOP convention are not likely to see Trump’s legal issues as an impediment — or to get involved in a pro-Haley delegate revolt. And if you are wondering whether elected Republicans would go along after a Jan. 6 guilty verdict, then you obviously haven’t been paying attention to GOP politics in a while.

Trump only has a lock on about 60% of the Official Ground And Pound Shirt in addition I really love this GOP electorate, but he’s got a 90% lock on the infrastructure of the party, which makes the rest of the GOP nearly powerless to stop his march to the nomination — and likely powerless to stop him from either staying the nominee if convicted or picking his heir apparent on his own terms. So that’s my dose of cold water on the three fantasy scenarios I get asked about most: replacing Biden, replacing Trump and finding a third-party alternative. All three scenarios are likely to remain simply fantasies. The big question: Now what? As some of you know, one of my favorite expressions in the dispassionate media space has been, “I cover politics as it is, not as I wish it were.” In that spirit, it’s time to accept that the contours of this race are pretty set. So to borrow from the late Donald Rumsfeld, here are the “known knowns.” Both parties are nominating flawed candidates. About 90% of the electorate already knows which way they are voting, as each candidate seems to have a lock on about 45% of the vote Just five states appear to be coin tosses, with another three I’d put in the “competitive but lean one way” category. The five closest: Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania in the north, plus Nevada and Arizona in the Sun Belt. The other three competitive states: Georgia, North Carolina (both slightly leaning GOP) and New Hampshire (which leans Democratic). The key swing voting groups: college-educated white men, noncollege white women, noncollege men of color and the “double haters” (voters who have unfavorable personal views of both Biden and Trump). Tell me which candidate overperforms

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